Estimation and Optimization Problems in Power Markets: Regime-Switching; Stochastic Programming
Estimation and Optimization Problems in Power Markets: Regime-Switching; Stochastic Programming
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Estimation and Optimization Problems in Power Markets: Regime-Switching; Stochastic Programming
Estimation and Optimization Problems in Power Markets: Regime-Switching; Stochastic Programming
Estimation and Optimization Problems in Power Markets: Regime-Switching; Stochastic Programming
Stavka #: 246699371

Estimation and Optimization Problems in Power Markets: Regime-Switching; Stochastic Programming

Stavka #: 246699371

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  • Der erste Teil der Arbeit beschreibt und analysiert ein Modell, welches das Ziel hat die gleichzeitige Entwicklung von Elektrizitäts- und Gaspreisen möglichst adäquat abzubilden. Dieses Modell gehört zur Klasse der sogenannten Regime-Switching Modelle. Wir stellen ein solches flexibles, bivariates Modell dar und beschreiben den Prozess, wie die Modellparameter an historische Marktdaten angepasst werden können. Das vorgestellte Modell bildet die Grundlage für das Portfolio- und Risikomanagement eines Gaskraftwerkes. Das Hauptanliegen des zweiten Teils besteht darin, das Problem der Bewertung und optimalen Auslastung eines Kraftwerkes durch ein stochastisches dynamisches Programm abzubilden und dieses zu lösen. Die für den Elektrizitätsmarkt spezifischen Spotpreisrisiken können hierbei durch das Eingehen von Forwardkontrakten abgesichert werden. Wir zeigen Existenz und Eindeutigkeit einer Lösung und leiten eine spezielle Struktur der optimalen Wertfunktion her. Für verschiedene Faktormodelle wird das Problem anschliessend numerisch betrachtet und die entsprechenden Risiko- und Performancekennzahlen berechnet.
Publisher Südwestdeutscher Verlag für Hochschulschriften
Publication date 25 Aug. 2012
Language English
Print length 164 pages
ISBN-10 9783838134987
ISBN-13 978-3838134987
Item weight 249 g
Dimensions 15.01 x 0.94 x 22 cm

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Estimation and Optimization Problems in Power Markets: Regime-Switching; Stochastic Programming

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